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Surprise or no surprise?
It would be interesting to know what was included in the airlift of weapons to Israel last week. The thermobaric Hellfire was originally developed for counter-terrorist use from Predator drones/UAVs, as an improvement over the original shaped charge or HEAT (High Explosive Anti Tank) warhead of a missile that was originally designed as an anti-tank weapon. Oct 19 23 05:12 am Link [EDIT] Never mind. I keep forgetting about JSouthworth's "unique" logic twists and turns, and (self-assessed) expertise superior to all of the expert military analysts. Hah! Oct 19 23 08:32 am Link For those that get their political news via "non-MSM / Main Street Media" sources... The viral video circulating of President Biden announcing that he's reinstituting "Selective Service" (i.e. the Draft) is, not too surprisingly, completely false. It may look and sound very real, but it's an AI generated fake. Yes, the source you choose for your political news, does matter. Oct 19 23 03:24 pm Link It now appears that the video purportedly showing the rocket hitting the Al Ahli Baptist hospital dates from August 2022 or earlier. https://www.reuters.com/fact-check/vide … 023-10-18/ Meanwhile in Gaza, the Israeli military are still killing a lot of civilians, alienating world opinion without achieving much in military or political terms. Oct 20 23 04:02 am Link JSouthworth wrote: The Palestinians have been launching rockets into Israel for over 20 years targeting civilians. Oct 20 23 09:27 am Link rxz wrote: The Israeli government displaces, oppresses and discriminates against the Palestinians. The Palestinian militia groups respond with terrorism and guerrilla warfare. Israel responds with air strikes and more arrests, assassinations and oppression. The Palestinians respond with suicide bombings. The Israelis respond with raids and air strikes. The Palestinians respond with terrorism and rockets. The Israelis respond by bombing Gaza...and so it continues. Oct 20 23 10:02 am Link As long as the US government continues to support a sectarian and racist Israeli government and state, it will continue to suffer negative consequences. In the worst case, the US and UK could end up losing most of their military bases and diplomatic missions in the Middle East. The perceived dependency of Israel on US support and military aid makes the US government responsible for the actions of the Israeli state in many peoples' view. Without Israel, would 9/11 have happened? Not all Islamist or anti-US terror groups are Palestinian. But every such organisation from Al Qaida to the Baader-Meinhof gang has cited the Palestinian cause as justification. Objectively, the state of Israel is a liability to the US and UK in a political sense. The stated objectives of the Israelis have changed since the start of the present war, in the beginning they were threatening to completely destroy the Gaza strip, then the objective changed to completely destroying HAMAS, now it's to destroy HAMAS's military capability. When Benjamin Netanyahu talks about taking "mighty vengeance" (on who, Palestinian civilians? Hospital patients?) who does he think he is? Which period of history does he imagine himself to be living in? You have to wonder when people start using the language of the Old Testament. A religious state of any kind seems to be an anachronism in the modern world. The solution may be to replace the present Jewish state of Israel with a single, fully integrated secular state which can combat religious and racial terrorism and discrimination in an effective way, as opposed to relying largely on the threatened or actual use of force. Oct 24 23 05:43 am Link Ignoring JSouthworth's posts... Here are some of the latest updates on, what is currently, an absolute mess... --- Official toll (after more than 400 targets were struck overnight): 7,191 Dead, plus 21,697 injured. As I've said before, these numbers include far too many "innocents" that get dragged into the mix (on all sides). The latest breakdown: Deaths: 5,791 in Gaza, 1,400 in Israel Injured: 16,297 in Gaza, 5,400 in Israel --- CNN (capitalization below is mine): "The Biden administration is preparing for the POTENTIAL evacuation of hundreds of thousands of Americans living in the Middle East — particularly in Israel and Lebanon — IF the war escalates" --- (CNN) In remarks to the U.N. Security Council on Tuesday, Secretary of State Antony Blinken outlined four “practical steps” for the international community to take: - Condemnation of terrorism and recognition of the right of “all countries,” including Israel, to defend themselves; - Protection of civilians, unconditional release of all hostages and consideration of a “humanitarian pause” to allow the full flow of aid into Gaza and the ability of civilians to leave; - Prevention of any regional widening of the crisis; - And “redoubl[ing] our efforts to build an enduring solution” to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict by recognizing the right of both parties to their own country. “The only way to break out of this horrific cycle of violence is through two states,” Blinken said. “We have no illusions about how hard” that is, he said. Oct 24 23 10:54 am Link LightDreams wrote: As if a pompous Brit has any credibility on the Middle East. Oct 24 23 11:18 am Link "(Reuters) Blinken tells UN: US doesn't want war with Iran but will defend itself" "The United States does not seek conflict with Iran. We do not want this war to widen. But if Iran or its proxies attack U.S. personnel anywhere, make no mistake: we will defend our people, we will defend our security - swiftly and decisively." "The U.S. military is taking new steps to protect its troops in the Middle East as concerns mount about attacks by Iran-backed groups, officials tell Reuters. The U.S. has also sent warships and fighter aircraft to the region to try to deter Iran and Iran-backed groups, including two aircraft carriers." Oct 24 23 01:00 pm Link LightDreams wrote: Barack Obama advocated a two state solution as well, but his presidency did not bring any real progress towards that goal. I think a single state would be better anyway. We have the successful example of South Africa. Oct 25 23 01:39 am Link I doubt if there's anything that Netanyahu or Biden can do in terms of military action that would would restore faith in Israel's security to what it was prior to October 7. The Israeli and US defence and security establishments are making excuses, saying that Iran planned the HAMAS offensive but how likely is that when HAMAS and Palestinian Islamic Jihad are Palestinian organisations based in Gaza, not Iranian organisations? They get inspiration, support and advice from Iran but their focus is on the Palestinian agenda. It's interesting that there now appears to be a virtual news blackout regarding the effects the ongoing rocket attacks are having within Israel, in contrast to what's happening in Gaza. Perceptions of security are something the Israelis are particularly sensitive to because of the extent to which their economy depends on an influx of young people who can be employed on agricultural projects on an unpaid basis, living communally. Indiscriminately killing civilians in Gaza with air strikes does not make Israeli citizens any safer, the main effect is to alienate and enrage Middle Eastern opinion with what is perceived as a racist double standard by which the lives of Israelis are considered more valuable than those of Palestinian people. The Israeli state is perceived as being on about the same ethical level as Putin's Russia, in that it appears to have little or no respect for international law or human rights, except to the extent to which it is compelled to respect them through international pressure. Politically, Benjamin Netanyahu's chances of political survival may increase with the duration of the conflict. He stays as Israeli leader as long as the war lasts, but perhaps not for much longer. US and UK policy on Israel is ethically, politically and now also militarily bankrupt, necessitating a new approach to the Israeli-Palestinian issue. Oct 25 23 01:09 pm Link JSouthworth wrote: It's impossible to say for certain whether 9/11 would have happened without Israel. But the idea that Israelis die so that Americans don't have to is demonstrably false. Effective counter-terrorism depends on sound intelligence work and effective defensive measures, not human sacrifice. Oct 27 23 02:50 am Link JSouthworth wrote: "Without Israel, would 9/11 have happened? Not all Islamist or anti-US terror groups are Palestinian" Oct 27 23 08:49 am Link Focuspuller wrote: JSouthworth wrote: Perhaps that's over-simplifying things. Terrorism, the use of violence by an organisation to create terror for political purposes, is a continuation of politics, like conventional warfare. So an initiative to solve a problem of terrorism must include an effort to address the political issues involved. Oct 27 23 09:30 am Link Good article here about the tunnel system under the Gaza strip; https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/world/a- … 6&ei=8 Oct 28 23 07:55 am Link Interesting Wikipedia article here about an episode during WW2 which could be compared with what the IDF have been attempting to do in Gaza: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Area_bombing_directive Here's another article with useful statistics; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bombing_o … r_II#Notes Area bombing attacks on civilian populated areas are now prohibited under international law. But governments still resort to indiscriminate or speculative bombing when they don't have better military options. "I simply must bomb Tanzania"- Idi Amin. Nov 02 23 04:52 am Link Details here of an Israeli plan to expel the entire population of the Gaza strip, 2.3 million people into the Sinai; https://new.thecradle.co/articles/leake … eanse-gaza The Egyptian government have make it clear that they will not tolerate this. Again, we have to consider the question of which period of history Benjamin Netanyahu imagines himself to be living in. The policies and actions of Netanyahu's government prior to October 7 may have been intended to provoke violent Palestinian reaction which could then be used to justify more oppression and displacement. The incidents involving the al Aqsa mosque in Jerusalem are an obvious case in point. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/ … e-compound Nov 05 23 05:22 am Link While the Israeli military have caused tens of thousand of civilian casualties in Gaza since the beginning of their ground operation a week ago, they do not appear to be doing much damage to HAMAS. I think their mission is to kill ten Palestinian civilians for every one Israeli civilian killed. This is retarded, and a misuse of the military equipment that the US government is inexplicably still sending their way, at the expense of Ukraine where a conventional war is being fought for much higher stakes. The Israeli army are all over the Gaza strip and they claim to have surrounded Gaza city, but as is well known, HAMAS have constructed an extensive tunnel system which obviates the need on their part to move any distance on the surface. To provide concealment and probably also for reasons of convenience, many of the tunnel entrances are in the basements of buildings. Blocking one such entrance by collapsing the building on top of it may prevent HAMAS from emerging from that particular entrance to attack Israeli soldiers, at least for a time, but it does not get the Israeli army closer to destroying HAMAS. The Gaza strip covers an area of 360 square km. Iwo Jima only has an area of 23 square km, but taking it cost the lives of 6000 Marines in 1945. There is of course no way that Israel's army can pay a bill like that. Israeli commanders are always under pressure to minimise Israeli casualties, above all other considerations. What we're seeing in Gaza is basically a dog and pony show in which the Israeli military are pretending that they're combating HAMAS when they know perfectly well that for the most part they're just destroying buildings and killing civilians, to some extent they and Netanyahu's government are relying on other peoples' lack of understanding on this point. They can only expect to inflict casualties on HAMAS when the latter choose to emerge from their tunnels into the open to attack Israeli ground forces. The tunnels are known to be booby-trapped, making it hazardous for Israeli commanders to send their personnel into them. Interesting video here; https://www.msn.com/en-us/video/watch/h … i-AA1jDmNp Nov 07 23 02:46 am Link Jake Sullivan, Biden's national security adviser, has been on television trying to justify the Israeli military's attacks on hospitals in Gaza by saying that there are HAMAS tunnels underneath them. No good, because if the tunnels are deep underground, artillery, drone strikes and sniper fire will not have any effect, therefore there is no justification. This is the basic problem the Israelis have in Gaza; the HAMAS tunnel system negates the effects of most of their weaponry while making it possible for the HAMAS fighters to move unseen and attack them from the rear, leading to paranoid Israeli soldiers shooting at anything that moves. Nov 13 23 04:06 am Link JSouthworth wrote: Has it not occurred to you that tunnels have entrances and if they're blocked or destroyed those inside will effectively be incarcerated and if they don't surrender will eventually die? Nov 13 23 08:22 am Link Wall Street Journal article here with a map of tunnels which the Israelis claim to have identified; https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/israel … s78HeUi46v Nov 15 23 08:05 am Link JSouthworth wrote: Here's a different view of the legality of Israel's military activities in Gaza, this one from an international lawyer who I imagine has a deeper understanding of the relevant issues than you do: Nov 15 23 09:50 am Link Some Israelis like to refer to HAMAS as "Nazis", but if we are making comparisons between what is happening in Gaza and historical events such as the Warsaw uprising in 1944, or the earlier uprising in the Jewish ghetto in Warsaw in 1943, we can see that it is the IDF who are playing the Nazis, in the first place because they are acting with an apparent total disregard for the safety of a civilian population who they appear to consider racially inferior, and also in the tactical sense, in that they are using tanks, aircraft and artillery against a guerrilla force which must rely on concealment and surprise. The battle of Berlin in 1945 is another classic example of how determined defenders can delay and inflict heavy losses on a superior attacking force in urban warfare. The urban environment provides ample cover and concealment for the defenders, offsetting the attacking force's superior firepower. Benjamin Netanyahu may have made the classic mistake of giving his army a task which is beyond it's capability. Nov 16 23 08:13 am Link JSouthworth wrote: Justification. Your overtly anti-Israeli narrative neglects to consider the atrocities committed against Israeli civilians immediately prior to military action being taken in Gaza. For your comparison to be remotely valid there would need to be, amongst other things, atrocities committed against Nazi Germany prior to the Nazi invasion of parts of Europe. Perhaps there weren't any - do let me know.. Nov 16 23 09:22 am Link P R E S T O N wrote: The US and Israeli governments probably have the edge on HAMAS when it comes to hiring expensive lawyers to justify killing women, children and babies. But the conflict in Gaza is undermining the credibility of the UN and US foreign policy. Nov 16 23 09:36 am Link JSouthworth wrote: You seem to be ignorant of the fact that Hamas is financed by Iran, which I have no doubt is also able to afford the funding of expensive lawyers. Nov 16 23 09:41 am Link P R E S T O N wrote: The Iranians don't need expensive lawyers, because the IDF are winning the arguments for them. Nov 16 23 09:56 am Link JSouthworth wrote: Iranians? For god's sake. The Iranians are sponsoring a proxy war - you clearly do not understand what that entails. Nov 16 23 10:54 am Link JSouthworth wrote: Nazi Germany ceased to exist in 1945, so to imagine that HAMAS are "nazis" is a paranoid delusion. Nov 17 23 05:06 am Link Godwin's law on full display here. This thread deserves/merits a mercy lock. Nov 17 23 05:15 am Link JQuest wrote: Any thoughts about the conflict in Israel? If so, this is the place to express them. Nov 17 23 05:24 am Link JSouthworth wrote: Dude, you just labelled yourself as a paranoid delusionist in yet another act of dorkism; having stated yourself, earlier in your own thread, that 'it is the IDF who are playing the Nazis'! One just has to laugh at the self-annihilating stupidity of the things you come out with LOL: JSouthworth wrote: On the subject of stupidity resulting in self-annihilation, I'm confident that if you were to rock up in Gaza and offer your services to your terrorist mates, Darwin will get you within moments of you being provided with an AK by Hamas. Everyone knows you have an unhealthy fascination with weaponry, especially guns, but don't let that tempt you dude - you won't live to regret it. Nov 17 23 03:52 pm Link JQuest wrote: Unfortunately, anything short of a coup de grâce would just result in further hijacks and a plethora of new threads being spawned. Nov 17 23 04:09 pm Link Benjamin Netanyahu has been claiming in TV interviews that the IDF is trying to protect Palestinian civilians, but failing to do so. Obvious bullshit - if you're bombing apartment buildings, then you're trying to kill civilians, not protect them. It doesn't make any difference if you know that the leader of a terrorist organisation has a flat in one of those buildings, because he almost certainly won't be there when you destroy it. You might kill his cat, or his neighbour's family. The IDF is a conventional military force, organised and equipped primarily for conventional maneuver warfare, not the kind of war they're having to fight in Gaza. It doesn't help that many of their personnel were in office jobs a few weeks ago. To date (11/18/23) the IDF have killed around 12.500 civilians in Gaza, the majority of them women and children, but no senior members of HAMAS as far as we know. They also haven't stopped HAMAS firing rockets at Tel Aviv, or liberated any of the hostages. But more importantly, they're doing irreparable damage to the public image of Israel internationally, while also undermining the credibility of US foreign policy. https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/world/ne … r-AA1k430X Nov 18 23 03:11 am Link JSouthworth wrote: Well, sherlock, that's because they're all leading billionaire lifestyles in places like Qatar, not Gaza. They're much too smart for you who seems to expect the principal promoters of Hamas terrorist and fanatical ideology to place themselves at mortal risk, in the thick of it. Nov 18 23 04:07 am Link P R E S T O N wrote: Do you have anything intelligent to say about anything? It doesn't look that way to me. HAMAS (an acronym for Ḥarakat al-Muqāwamah al-ʾIslāmiyyah, or Islamic Resistance Movement) is a Palestinian organisation with a Palestinian leadership and agenda, the idea that they operate under orders from Iran or Qatar is nonsense. They receive financial support from a number of sources internationally, mainly governments sympathetic to their cause; Nov 18 23 06:06 am Link jSouthwood wrote: Do you think the majority of participants believe that your posts measure up to this lofty goal? Nov 18 23 07:49 am Link Hunter GWPB wrote: How would I know? Let me know how your survey turns out. Nov 29 23 08:04 am Link It's interesting to see that the German Government have adopted the position that they have no choice but to support Israel's attacks on Gaza because of Germany's historical responsibility for the Holocaust. Personally I think this is irrational for a number of reasons, the first and most obvious being that Israel's indiscriminate attacks on Gaza are like the Holocaust, counterproductive militarily and politically and a violation of international law. Germany today is a democracy, with a government that is nominally representative of the German people as a whole, whereas Germany during the Second World War was a dictatorship, there is no evidence that the majority of Germans wanted either WW2 or the Holocaust which was kept secret as far as possible, publicly it was referred to as "resettlement" and only within the SS as the "Final Solution". That is to say that the Nazis were responsible for the Holocaust, not the German people who were never told about it officially while it was happening. If Germany's leaders today wish to inherit the responsibility for the Holocaust, they may have a right to do so on their own behalf, but not in my view on behalf of the people that they represent. This policy has to seen in the context of fears over resurgence of the far right in Germany, nobody wants another Hitler but is it rational for people to assume responsibility on behalf of others for events that took place before they were born? Conversely, revanchist right-wing Israelis who were born after 1945 should not be regarded as having the right to cite the Holocaust as a justification for their militarism and racist behaviour towards the Palestinians. When they try to characterise the Palestinians as Nazis we should point out to them that they are delusional, because Nazi Germany ceased to exist in 1945. Dec 01 23 03:27 am Link |